📊 SPSPick Website Full Guide – Q&A Style

We’ll break down every section of the site so you know exactly what you’re looking at, how to read it, and how to use it for your analysis. For each part, we’ll have:

1️⃣ 🧐 Curious Fan: Asking, “What is this? What do these numbers mean?”
2️⃣ 💡 SPSPick Expert (Us): Answering in simple, clear language with tips on how it’s useful.

📊 SPSPick Teams Performance Rating

Curious Fan 🤔:
“What’s this colorful bar with numbers from 0.00 to 5.00? What does it mean for the games today?”

SPSPick Expert 🧠:
This is the SPSPick Teams Performance Rating — your quick visual guide to a team’s current strength based on recent form, stats, and results. Each range has its own meaning:

  • 0.00 – 0.50 ⚪ Very Poor – team is struggling heavily. (or not enough games played just yet)

  • 0.51 – 0.99 🟡 Below Average – underperforming.

  • 1.00 – 1.49 🟠 Average – nothing special, nothing terrible.

  • 1.50 – 2.99 🟢 Strong – in good form and dangerous.

  • 3.00 – 5.00 💚 Elite – top form, dominating games.

“The buttons below let you pick a specific date — yesterday’s results, today’s matches, or upcoming days. This way, you can quickly switch between past, present, and future performance data.”

 

💡 Pro Tip:
“If you see a big gap between two teams’ ratings, it’s a potential signal that one team has a clear advantage right now.

🏆 Matchday Overview

Curious Fan 🤔:
“Okay… now I see a list of matches with times, team names, and some colored numbers. What’s all this telling me?”

SPSPick Expert 🧠:
This is today’s match schedule for the Lithuanian I Lyga, showing both team form ratings and quick stat insights.

Here’s how to read it:

  • Time ⏰ – Kick-off time for each match.

  • Home / Away Form Ratings 📊 – Numbers (e.g., 2.28 or 0.78) show the team’s performance rating from our first chart.

    • Green 🟢 = Strong form

    • Yellow 🟡 = Below average

    • Orange 🟠 = Average

  • Live Scores 🔴 – If a match is in progress, you’ll see updates like “1–1 Second half.”

  • 2.5+ % 📈 – The chance of a match having over 2.5 goals based on both teams’ trends.

  • BTTS % 🎯 – “Both Teams To Score” probability.

 

💡 Pro Tip:
High BTTS + high 2.5% means a game could be open and attacking. Low numbers often mean a tighter, more defensive match.

Match Overview - for example Jonava vs FK Kauno Žalgiris II

🤔 Curious Fan:
“Okay, I see two teams, numbers next to their logos, and some colored boxes with W, D, L. What does all this mean?”

💡 SPSPick Expert:
This screen gives you a quick yet powerful snapshot of the upcoming match between Jonava and FK Kauno Žalgiris II.

📊 Team Rating (Numbers Next to Logos)

  • Jonava – 1.38 (🟠 Orange) → Average performance level in recent matches.

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris II – 0.44 (⚪ Grey) → Very Poor form, struggling heavily.

These ratings are based on recent form, strength of opponents, and match outcomes.

📅 Recent Form (Colored W/D/L Boxes)

  • W (🟩 Green) = Win

  • D (🟨 Yellow) = Draw

  • L (🟥 Red) = Loss
    Jonava: 🟩🟨🟥🟥🟩 → Mixed results but capable of wins.
    FK Kauno Žalgiris II: 🟥🟨🟥🟥🟩 → Mostly losses, one recent win.

📍 Match Details

  • League: Lithuanian I Lyga

  • Date & Time: Saturday, Aug 09, 2025 – 18:00 (Vilnius time)

  • Extra Info: Stats, Head-to-Head, Live Scores, and Expected Goals (xG) available with one click.

  • Venue: Jonavos centrinis stadionas.

💡 How to Use It:

  • Spot form mismatches instantly (Average vs Very Poor).

  • See if a struggling team has any recent momentum (last result).

  • Use ratings + form to identify high-confidence predictions or potential upsets.

⚡ Pro Tip: Ratings under 0.50 usually indicate a team is in crisis — consider this when looking for value decisions.

📈 Team Scoring Trends & League Position

🤔 Curious Fan:
“Looking at this scoring chart and league table… what does it tell us about Jonava vs FK Kauno Žalgiris II today?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:
“This one’s quite interesting. 📊

  • Scoring Patterns: Jonava (🔵) are most dangerous late in both halves — 45’ (25%) and 75’ (25%). Kauno Žalgiris II (🔴) have their biggest threat early in the 2nd half (45’–60’ zone with 28%).

  • League Table Insight: Jonava sit 10th, with a weak attack (12 goals in 18 matches) but a more stable defense. Kauno Žalgiris II are 11th, but their form average (3.28) is misleading — they concede a lot (34 goals) and have -9 goal difference.

  • Match Implication: Expect bursts of action around half-time and late in the match ⏳⚽. Neither side dominates the league, so momentum swings are likely.

If we’re thinking in ‘smart moves’ terms 🎯 — watch for late goals and potential shifts after 45’.”

📊 Right Side – Lithuanian I Lyga Table

  • Columns:

    • MP = Matches Played

    • Win% = Win percentage

    • GF = Goals For

    • GA = Goals Against

    • GD = Goal Difference

    • Pts = Points

    • AVG = SPSPick Performance Rating (same scale as earlier: Very Poor → Elite)

  • Current situation:

    • Jonava (10th) – 28% wins, -2 GD, 1.44 AVG → Struggling mid-table.

    • FK Kauno Žalgiris II (11th) – 28% wins, -9 GD, 1.28 AVG → Slightly weaker overall, leaky defense.

💡 How to use it:

  • Combine timing strengths with league form to spot realistic match expectations.

  • If a team is low in the table but has one strong scoring period, they may surprise in that window.

  • Higher AVG + positive GD usually signals a stronger, more consistent team.

⚡ Pro Tip: When a lower-ranked team has a clear scoring peak that overlaps with an opponent’s weak defensive phase, it’s a golden opportunity for predictions.

📊 Match Insights – Key Game Tendencies

🤔 Curious Fan:
“These percentages look cool, but… what do they actually mean for me? And what’s BTTS?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:

  • Over 2.5 (47%) – In 47% of Jonava’s games, the total goals scored were 3 or more. League average is slightly higher (56%), meaning this match has a slightly lower high-scoring tendency.

  • Over 1.5 (76%) – 76% of games see at least 2 total goals. This is almost in line with the league’s 77%, suggesting it’s common for both teams to produce at least a couple of goals.

  • Goals / Match (2.56) – On average, games with these two sides have 2.56 total goals. This is just under the league’s 2.99 average.

  • BTTS (53%) – “Both Teams To Score.” In 53% of games, both sides have found the net. This matches closely with the league’s 52%.

💡 How to use it:

  • If Over 1.5% is high but Over 2.5% is lower, it often signals matches with 2 goals exactly being common.

  • A BTTS% above league average suggests open play and weaker defenses.

  • Comparing each stat to the league average tells you whether this match is more or less likely to follow a certain scoring trend.

⚡ Pro Tip:
Use this to filter matches – for example, if you want high-scoring games, look for both Over 2.5% and Goals/Match above league average.

📊 Head-to-Head & Goal History

🤔 Curious Fan:
“Hmm… their history seems kind of quiet on goals. Should we expect the same again?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:
“Past meetings say exactly that. 📜⚽

  • Head-to-Head: In 6 games, Jonava have 3 wins, Kauno Žalgiris II have 2, and 1 draw. Very balanced rivalry.

  • Goal Trends: Only 33% of matches went Over 1.5 goals, and just 17% went Over 2.5. That’s low-scoring territory.

  • BTTS: Shockingly, 0% of these clashes saw both teams score — clean sheet dominance is the norm.

  • Defensive Edge: Jonava kept a clean sheet in 67% of these games, Kauno Žalgiris II in 50%.

💡 Smart Move Thinking: History says this is more of a tactical chess match than a goal fest. Expect long periods of control, few big chances, and possibly another game decided by 1 goal or less.”

📊Current Form & Team Stats

🤔 Curious Fan:
“Form-wise, who’s got the edge right now? Home advantage, maybe?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:
“Form tells a layered story. 📈⚽

  • Recent Results: Jonava are mixed but resilient at home (W-D-D-L-W), while Kauno Žalgiris II struggle badly away (L-L-D-L-W).

  • Home & Away PPG: Jonava average 1.38 PPG at home, Kauno Žalgiris II just 0.44 away — that’s a big gap.

  • Scoring: Jonava score 0.65 per game overall, but 2.0 at home. Kauno Žalgiris II score 1.39 overall but drop away to 1.0.

  • Conceding: Jonava’s defense is tighter (0.76 conceded overall) compared to Kauno Žalgiris II’s 1.89.

  • BTTS: Much higher for Kauno Žalgiris II (61%) than Jonava (24%).

  • Clean Sheets: Jonava keep them 41% of the time, while Kauno Žalgiris II only 17%.

💡 Smart Move Thinking: Jonava’s home performance and defensive discipline stand out. Kauno Žalgiris II can be dangerous on a good day, but away form and leaky defense are major red flags.”

🎯 Attacking Strength — Goal Scoring Potential

🤔 Curious Fan:
“So, which team is more likely to find the net here?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:
“Interestingly, both sides are dead even in expected goals at 1.00 per match in these conditions (Jonava at home vs Kauno Žalgiris II away). 📏⚖

  • Over 0.5 Goals: Jonava edge it slightly — scoring in 63% of home games compared to Kauno Žalgiris II’s 56% away.

  • Over 1.5 Goals: Still close, Jonava 25%, Kauno Žalgiris II 22%.

  • Over 2.5 / 3.5: Very rare for both sides — under 13% hit rate for each.

  • Failing to Score: Kauno Žalgiris II fail in 44% of away matches, Jonava slightly better at 38%.

💡 Smart Move Thinking: This isn’t shaping up to be a goal fest — historical data leans towards low-scoring patterns, with both teams’ attack output modest at best.”

📊 Chance of Team Scoring — Factor-Weighted Model

🤔 Curious Fan:
“These scoring % numbers… just based on goals history?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:
“Not just that. This model crunches multiple factors — team form, home/away dynamics, opponent strength, and seasonal scoring patterns — giving a more realistic probability than raw averages.

  • Jonava: 79% chance to find the net at least once.

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris II: 63% scoring likelihood on the road.

  • Both Teams to Score: 50% — suggesting a true coin flip scenario.

💡 Smart Move Thinking: While past match averages hint at low-scoring trends, the factor-weighted model says Jonava are significantly more likely to score. This might slightly shift expectations for markets like BTTS or team goals.”

🛡 Defensive Gaps — Who’s More Likely to Concede?

🤔 Curious Fan:
“So, who’s got the leakier backline here?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:
“On paper, it’s clear — Jonava are 53% better at keeping the ball out of their net compared to FK Kauno Žalgiris II.

  • Jonava (Home): Concede just 1.00 goals/match — a solid defensive base.

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris II (Away): Ship 2.11 goals/match — more than double Jonava’s home figure.

📊 Conceding Patterns:

  • Kauno Žalgiris II concede in 100% of their away matches, and 67% of the time it’s 2+ goals.

  • Jonava keep clean sheets 25% of the time at home, failing to concede in 1 of every 4 games.

💡 Smart Move Thinking: These numbers tilt in Jonava’s favour — if they score first, they’ve got the defence to protect it. On the flip side, Kauno’s defensive record makes them vulnerable to falling behind early.”

🎯 Goal Expectation — Will We See a High-Scoring Game?

🤔 Curious Fan:
“Could this turn into a goal fest?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:
“Both teams are strong candidates to find the net — Over 0.5 goals hits in 94% of combined games.

  • Over 1.5 goals: Strong chance at 76%, with Kauno Žalgiris II showing 89% away success here.

  • Over 2.5 goals: Moderate at 47%, suggesting goals are likely but a 3+ scoreline is less consistent.

  • Over 3.5 goals: Just 23% overall, so the real fireworks are rare.

💡 BTTS (Both Teams to Score): Sits at 53%, with both sides evenly matched in hitting this mark.

🔍 Combo Insights:

  • BTTS & Over 2.5 hits in 41% of games — decent for those expecting an open contest.

  • BTTS & Win more likely with Jonava (25%) than Kauno (11%).

📊 Verdict: High chance of 2+ goals, fair BTTS probability, but expecting 4+ goals would be ambitious.”

⏱️ Goal Expectation — 1st Half vs 2nd Half

🤔 Curious Fan:
“Cool table… but what’s the real story by halves? Where are the goals most likely?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:
“Here’s the split, nice and clean:

1st Half

  • Over 0.5: 76% overall (Jonava 63%, Kauno II 89%) → a single 1H goal is quite likely.

  • Over 1.5: 23% (13% / 33%) → two 1H goals are uncommon.

  • Over 2.5: 6% → rare.

  • BTTS 1H: 11% → both scoring before HT is unlikely.

  • Unders: U1.5 = 78%, U2.5 = 95% → the first half tends to be low scoring.

2nd Half

  • Over 0.5: 71% (63% / 78%) → again, one goal is likely.

  • Over 1.5: 47% (38% / 56%) → two 2H goals nearly a coin flip, and higher than 1H.

  • Over 2.5: 12% → still rare, but higher than 1H.

  • BTTS 2H: 30% → both scoring after the break is more possible than in 1H, but not dominant.

  • BTTS Both Halves: 0% → essentially no history of both teams scoring in both halves.

What this tells you:

  • Expect one goal in each half more often than not.

  • Multiple goals are more likely in the 2nd half than the 1st.

  • BTTS overall is moderate, but BTTS in the 1st half is low.

⚡ Pro Tip:
Pair this with the Scoring Probability by Period wheel: if a team spikes late (e.g., 75’–90’), the 2nd-half Over 1.5 can be the better angle than chasing early fireworks.

🚩 Corner Kick Trends — Full-Time Overview

🤔 Curious Fan:
“Alright, so… are corners going to rain in this match or not?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:
“This is one of the most corner-heavy matchups you’ll see in this league.”

📊 Season Stats

  • Average total corners: 9.97 per match

  • Jonava: 10.38 corners earned per match (very high)

  • FK Kauno Zalgiris II: 9.56 corners earned per match

  • Over 3.5 to Over 6.5: 83%+ hit rate across the board — strong reliability

  • Over 7.5 & 8.5: Still solid (71%)

  • Over 9.5: Drops to 59.5% — coin flip territory

  • Over 10.5+: Fades fast to below 50%, risk increases significantly.

📌 What This Means:

  • Corners almost guaranteed to hit Over 5.5 and Over 6.5.

  • Over 7.5 / 8.5 still very strong — value depends on odds.

  • High lines (10.5+) turn volatile — only consider if game script is expected to be wide open with sustained attacks from both.

⚡ Pro Tip:
In matches where both sides produce 10+ corners on their own in season averages, you can combine Over 8.5 with “Home Team Most Corners” for better returns.

🟨 Discipline & Cards — Full-Time Outlook

🤔 Match Observer:
“So… are we going to see fireworks from the referee in this one?”

🧠 SPSPick Expert:
“Cards are very likely, but don’t expect an extreme card-fest unless tensions rise unexpectedly.”

📊 Season Card Data

  • Average total cards per match: 4.25

  • Jonava: 3.38 cards earned/match

  • FK Kauno Zalgiris II: 5.11 cards earned/match (quite high)

  • Over 1.5: 100% hit rate — basically guaranteed

  • Over 2.5: Strong at 76%

  • Over 3.5: Drops to 53% — a coin flip

  • Over 4.5+: Steadily declines, hitting risky territory (≤35% hit rate)

📌 Key Takeaways:

  • Low lines (1.5 / 2.5) are safe and reliable.

  • Over 3.5 could have value if the referee is known for being strict or if the match has rivalry intensity.

  • Over 4.5+ only makes sense with strong narrative triggers: title race stakes, recent heated history, or referee profile.

⚡ Pro Tip:
Pairing Over 2.5 Cards with another strong market (like Over 7.5 Corners) often creates value doubles in matches with high engagement.

✅ Finished GAME STATS - Count how many ✅ we got in this game !

✅ That’s a wrap for today’s breakdown!

We’ve covered the key stats, patterns, and insights — and this is just the beginning. 🚀 Our team is constantly working to bring you deeper analysis, smarter angles, and fresh data so you’re always one step ahead.

📢 Much more coming soon — we’re upgrading, expanding, and fine-tuning every day.
📲 Follow us on social media to get instant updates, new strategies, and exclusive previews before anyone else.

Stay sharp. Stay ahead.

Glossary

FormForm is the performance level of the team across currently active season. Often represented in PPG (Points Per Game).
PPGPoints Per Game - Average points picked up per match across the competition.
Higher numbers indicate a stronger team.
AVGAverage Goals Per Match (AVG) - The average number of total goals per match.
Calculated across this season.
Over 2.52.5+ - The number or percent of matches where the total goals ended above 2.5 (i.e., 3, 4, or 5 goals).
FTSFailed to Score - Matches where this team failed to score.
CSClean Sheets - Table of teams with the highest number of matches where they conceded 0 goals. Stats are taken from League runs only.
* Team must have played a minimum of 7 matches before they qualify for this CS table.
BTTSBoth Teams To Score - List of teams with the highest number of matches where both teams scored. Stats from team's Domestic League runs only.
* Team must have played a minimum of 7 matches before they qualify for this BTTS table.